The United Democratic Alliance (UDA) has regained its position as the most popular political party in Kenya, while the Linda Mwananchi Movement has emerged as the second most preferred political outfit, overtaking the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM), according to a new opinion poll by TIFA Research.
The survey released on Thursday, November 12, 2026, shows UDA commanding 25 per cent support nationally, marking an increase from 17 per cent recorded in June 2026.
Linda Mwananchi, which is associated with the emerging political movement, has entered the national rankings with 17 per cent support, placing it ahead of ODM, whose popularity has dropped to 10 per cent.
The findings point to a changing political landscape as different formations seek to establish their influence ahead of the 2027 General Election.
ODM's latest rating represents a significant decline from the 20 per cent support it recorded in June, when it was among the leading political parties in the country.
The party had previously registered 29 per cent in August 2022 before its support dropped to 11 per cent in September 2025. It later recovered to 18 per cent in November 2025 before settling at 16 per cent in May 2026.
Democracy for the Citizens Party (DCP) recorded nine per cent support in the latest survey, while Wiper and Jubilee registered five and four per cent respectively.
Other political parties collectively attracted no measurable support in the latest November survey, compared to seven per cent recorded in June.
Despite UDA taking the lead among established political parties, the survey shows that a significant number of Kenyans remain undecided about their political preferences.
Those who identified themselves as undecided or without a preferred party accounted for 28 per cent, suggesting that a sizeable section of the electorate has yet to settle on a political side.
The poll also highlighted the growing influence of the Linda Mwananchi Movement in Nairobi, where it emerged as the most popular political formation with 26 per cent support.
DCP followed in second position in the capital with 11 per cent, while UDA and ODM tied in third place after each recording nine per cent.
The Nairobi findings indicate a different political picture from the national rankings, with Linda Mwananchi enjoying stronger support in the capital than its national rating.
The movement's emergence comes amid growing political realignments and efforts by different groups to attract voters as the country approaches the next election cycle.
Overall, the TIFA findings suggest that while UDA has strengthened its national position, ODM is facing a decline in support, with newer political formations gaining ground.
However, with 28 per cent of respondents yet to identify with any political party, the findings also point to a potentially fluid political environment in which party support could shift as the 2027 elections draw closer.
